The headline: One-year on, America is coming out of its third COVID wave.
- Each line is the weekly COVID-19 rate (weekly cases per million) for each state and DC from March 1st 2020 to March 6th 2021.
- The states are colored according to the 2020 election result. Blue states voted for Biden, with dark-blue states having the largest Biden vote percentage. Red states voted for Trump, with dark-red states having the largest Trump vote percentage.
- The colored state boxes on the right hand side are ordered according to the states rates (high to low, top to bottom) on March 6th, 2021.
- Three waves of COVID are apparent::
- WAVE #1 (mid-March to end of May): The Northeast typified by NY, NJ, MA, RI, CT, DC, and LA’s New Orleans spike.
- WAVE #2 (mid-June to mid-August): The South typified by AR, FL, LA, MS, SC, TX, GA, and NV.
- WAVE #3 (early-October to present): Starting in Mid/Mountain-West typified by ND, SD, MT, WI, NE, UT, ID, IA, and WY… and then appearing in almost all states over Thanksgiving and Christmas.
- The first wave is dominated by Blue States.
- The second wave was dominated by Red states.
- Red states dominated the beginning of the third wave (see http://chartedterritory.us/2020/10/17/americas-third-covid-wave/). No such pattern exists now.
- The first wave occurred when testing rates were low. The real rates were likely much higher.
- The second wave occurred when testing rates were relatively steady, and rising test rates during the third wave (see https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/individual-states).
- Almost all states saw their highest rates to date during the third wave (though the true rates were not known during the first phase).
The data: COVID-19 data were collected from USAFacts (https://usafacts.org/visualizations/coronavirus-covid-19-spread-map/). Election data were collected and compiled by Charted Territory.