The headline: In the latest from the “Illuminating America” series from Charted Territory, the county-level rural population rate has replaced Chlamydia as the number-one explanatory variable of the 2016 election. The rural population explains 61% of the election result, with the Republican counties (i.e., counties that voted for Donald Trump) being almost five times more rural than Democrat counties.
- X-axis: county-level rural population rate (percent).
- Y-axis: county-level 2016 Trump vote (percent).
- Bubble size: proportional to total county population.
- Bubble color: state-level election result (red = Trump state, blue = Clinton state).
The data: The rural population data are taken from the County Health Rankings & Roadmaps (http://www.countyhealthrankings.org/explore-health-rankings). Election data were collected and compiled by Charted Territory.